Steel Heist

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.65
2.55 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.37%
1,189 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
104 openings · below min
7 days
948 openings · below min
30 days
94.37%±27.641,189 openings
since tracking started
94.37%±27.641,189 openings
32.5%78.0%123.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10452.41%±19.1—sample
7d94892.33%±30.7—sample
30d1,18994.37%±27.6—sample
All1,18994.37%±27.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$159246 CSBATTLE_COIN96.61x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedcherkix$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$125193 CSBATTLE_COIN75.84x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$125193 CSBATTLE_COIN75.84x
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedcherkix$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$125193 CSBATTLE_COIN75.84x

Latest dropsnewest first

Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.624.06 CSBATTLE_COIN1.59x
Desert Eagle | Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.624.06 CSBATTLE_COIN1.59x
P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.11 CSBATTLE_COIN0.44x
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blueJuicYYY$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.060.09 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blue$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.060.09 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.11 CSBATTLE_COIN0.44x
P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.11 CSBATTLE_COIN0.44x
MAC-10 | Silver (Factory New)weapon · light blueJuicYYY$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.060.09 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.11 CSBATTLE_COIN0.44x
P250 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.11 CSBATTLE_COIN0.44x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $159 (96.61x)