Sentence

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.87
2.9 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.41%
979 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
772 openings · below min
30 days
979 openings · below min
since tracking started
979 openings · below min
40.5%80.8%121.0%

Small sample. 979 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2480.78%±39.7—sample
7d77283.51%±7.89—sample
30d97985.41%±6.98—sample
All97985.41%±6.98—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.598.66 CSBATTLE_COIN2.99x
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)weapon · MythicalTrundle$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.051.62 CSBATTLE_COIN0.56x
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.974.6 CSBATTLE_COIN1.59x
StatTrak™ Nova | Koi (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.133.3 CSBATTLE_COIN1.14x
Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.270.42 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x
Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff$1.872.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.270.42 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —