Rage

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$148.39
230 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
63.39%
123 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
93 openings · below min
30 days
123 openings · below min
since tracking started
123 openings · below min
24.0%59.5%95.0%

Small sample. 123 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1856.51%±31.8—sample
7d9369.74%±24.6—sample
30d12363.39%±19.4—sample
All12363.39%±19.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$8231,275 CSBATTLE_COIN5.54x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$8231,275 CSBATTLE_COIN5.54x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$283438 CSBATTLE_COIN1.90x
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$22.4534.79 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$122190 CSBATTLE_COIN0.83x
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.2517.44 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$286443 CSBATTLE_COIN1.93x
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.2517.44 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$122190 CSBATTLE_COIN0.83x
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.2517.44 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$148230 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.2517.44 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,123 (7.57x)