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Red Alert

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.26
3.5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.08%
2,102 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
403 openings · below min
30 days
89.08%±4.022,102 openings
since tracking started
89.08%±4.022,102 openings
53.5%79.8%106.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2476.46%±22.1—sample
7d40394.62%±10.7—sample
30d2,10289.08%±4.02—sample
All2,10289.08%±4.02—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.320.49 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
Souvenir MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.704.18 CSBATTLE_COIN1.19x
Souvenir MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.704.18 CSBATTLE_COIN1.19x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.652.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.73x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.320.49 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
Souvenir MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial GradeLuddes$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.704.18 CSBATTLE_COIN1.19x
Souvenir MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.704.18 CSBATTLE_COIN1.19x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Rare$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.861.33 CSBATTLE_COIN0.38x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.320.49 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$2.263.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.320.49 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —