3D скины
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$0.93
Advertised RTP
79.08%
EV $0.74 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.58%
6,024 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,045 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 79.08%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.93 | 79.08% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.93 | 78.83% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.93 | 78.70% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.93 | 78.71% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.93 | 79.04% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.93 | 79.41% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.40% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.32% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.39% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.93 | 79.48% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.93 | 79.94% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.93 | 79.95% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.93 | 79.87% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.93 | 79.93% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.93 | 79.91% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.93 | 79.99% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 79.86% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 79.84% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.93 | 80.01% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.93 | 80.02% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.93 | 80.00% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.93 | 79.98% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.93 | 79.96% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.93 | 80.35% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.09 | 78.45% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.45% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.17% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.14% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.09 | 78.15% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.09 | 78.12% | 29 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedred 0.0%covert 0.0%rare 0.0%pink 0.4%#d32ee6 0.0%#8847ff 15.2%uncommon 0.1%Legendary 0.1%classified 0.1%violet 29.2%restricted 23.9%Rare 1.3%Mythical 23.3%#4b69ff 6.5%best hit —