Агенты
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$17.99
Advertised RTP
74.70%
EV $13.44 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.20%
957 openings, odds method
Variance
0.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
23.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 75.61% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (78.55% – 85.86%, 957 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 961 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 74.70%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $17.99 | 74.70% | 33 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $17.99 | 74.53% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $17.99 | 74.51% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $17.99 | 74.80% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $17.99 | 75.12% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $17.99 | 75.13% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $17.99 | 75.12% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $17.99 | 75.18% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $17.99 | 75.24% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $17.99 | 75.67% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $17.99 | 75.63% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $17.99 | 75.63% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $17.99 | 75.65% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $17.99 | 75.65% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $17.99 | 75.65% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $17.99 | 75.66% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $17.99 | 75.64% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $17.99 | 75.65% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $17.99 | 75.66% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $17.99 | 75.66% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $17.99 | 75.59% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $17.99 | 75.72% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $17.99 | 76.05% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $17.99 | 76.07% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $17.99 | 75.98% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $17.99 | 75.67% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $17.99 | 75.77% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $17.99 | 75.75% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $17.99 | 75.76% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $17.99 | 75.73% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmaster 8.0%exceptional 7.5%red 17.8%superior 7.3%Ancient 2.3%pink 10.3%violet 16.4%distinguished 7.5%blue 19.9%#4b69ff 2.9%best hit —