ALL-IN DEAGLE
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$1.39
Advertised RTP
62.37%
EV $0.87 from 2 items
Observed RTP, 30d
5034.95%
48 openings, odds method
Variance
25.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 93
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 48 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 1 in 93 | $67.61 | 83.9% | 42 | 0.5 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Tilted (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d9 | 98.9% | $0.14 | 16.1% | 0 | 47.5 | 0.00× |
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 62.37%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.39 | 62.37% | 2 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.18% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.18% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.39 | 62.46% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.39 | 62.68% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.68% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.67% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.73% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.39 | 62.81% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.39 | 63.19% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.39 | 63.09% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.39 | 63.15% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.17% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.17% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.39 | 63.12% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.13% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.11% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.12% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.14% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.18% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 63.06% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.19% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.39 | 63.47% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.39 | 63.45% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.39% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.17% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.22% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.39 | 63.22% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.39 | 63.24% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.39 | 63.22% | 2 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 1.1%#5e98d9 98.9%best hit $71.46 (51.41x)