Anubis Collection

A case on csgo.net (Collection), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$13.99
Advertised RTP
73.87%
EV $10.33 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.24%
40 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
57.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
2 openings · below min
7 days
38 openings · below min
30 days
40 openings · below min
since tracking started
40 openings · below min
54.5%161.8%269.0%

Small sample. 40 openings and 19.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2161.97%±106.6—odds
7d3878.41%±22.5—odds
30d4077.24%±22.0—odds
All4077.24%±22.0—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 1,767$1911.0%00.0—
FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 18$37.8220.7%12.30.44×
P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 17$37.6320.8%32.31.31×
Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested)weapon · violet46.2%$7.6934.4%1818.50.97×
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested)weapon · violet42.4%$5.6223.0%016.90.00×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 73.87%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$13.9973.87%5
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$13.9973.70%5
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$13.9973.69%5
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$13.9973.98%5
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$13.9974.32%5
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$13.9974.30%5
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$13.9974.29%5
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$13.9974.36%5
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$13.9974.40%5
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$13.9974.81%5
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$13.9974.80%5
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$13.9974.79%5
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$13.9974.82%16
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$13.9974.82%16
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$13.9974.84%5
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9974.85%5
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9974.80%16
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$13.9974.82%5
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$13.9974.84%5
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9974.82%5
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9974.76%6
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$13.9974.89%6
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$13.9975.23%6
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$13.9975.24%5
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$13.9975.12%6
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$13.9974.84%5
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$13.9974.93%6
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$13.9974.91%6
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$13.9974.93%6
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$13.9974.88%6
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedred 0.1%pink 11.4%violet 88.6%best hit —