Крупная добыча

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$0.67
Advertised RTP
77.18%
EV $0.52 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
USP-S | Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 9,709$23.290.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 9,488$19.140.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 8,716$13.690.3%00.0—
Charm | Lil' Fernocharm · #eb4b4b1 in 8,611$13.280.3%00.0—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 8,380$12.500.3%00.0—
P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 7,210$9.910.3%00.0—
SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 6,416$8.770.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 5,392$7.600.3%00.0—
XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 3,287$5.670.3%00.0—
MP9 | Rose Iron (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 3,205$5.600.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 2,109$4.630.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 549$2.741.0%00.0—
MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 230$1.991.7%00.0—
Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 135$1.632.3%00.0—
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 131$1.612.4%00.0—
AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 119$1.562.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 92$1.412.9%00.0—
SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 44$1.034.6%00.0—
USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 38$0.975.0%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 29$0.855.7%00.0—
AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 17$0.637.1%00.0—
P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted1 in 14$0.537.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 13$0.517.5%00.0—
UMP-45 | Continuum (Well-Worn)weapon · common1 in 12$0.457.4%00.0—
Charm | Lil' Faceliftcharm · #8847ff1 in 11$0.427.2%00.0—
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 11$0.417.2%00.0—
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 10$0.366.7%00.0—
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 10$0.336.3%00.0—
MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec10.1%$0.316.0%00.0—
P250 | Verdigris (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec10.1%$0.285.4%00.0—
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$0.6777.18%30
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$0.6776.90%30
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$0.6776.89%30
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$0.6777.16%30
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$0.6777.49%30
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$0.6777.50%30
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$0.6777.52%30
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$0.6777.66%30
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$0.6777.63%30
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$0.6778.07%30
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$0.6778.02%30
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$0.6778.04%30
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$0.6777.96%30
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$0.6778.10%30
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$0.6778.03%30
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$0.6778.05%30
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$0.6778.00%30
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$0.6778.10%30
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$0.6778.01%29
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$0.6778.02%29
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$0.6777.97%30
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$0.6778.05%30
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$0.6778.56%30
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$0.6778.55%30
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$0.6778.39%30
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$0.6778.13%30
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$0.6778.17%30
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$0.6778.12%29
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$0.6778.15%30
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$0.6778.15%30
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedMythical 4.2%mil spec 20.2%#eb4b4b 0.0%classified 0.1%pink 0.1%restricted 13.6%#8847ff 19.2%violet 21.0%Rare 5.8%Restricted 7.3%common 8.5%