BRABUS
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$139.00
Advertised RTP
71.18%
EV $98.95 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
71.01%
1,179 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,179 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 71.18%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $139 | 71.18% | 25 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $139 | 71.02% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $139 | 71.00% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $139 | 71.28% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $139 | 71.59% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $139 | 71.60% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $139 | 71.58% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $139 | 71.64% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $139 | 71.70% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $139 | 72.10% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $139 | 72.08% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $139 | 72.07% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $139 | 72.10% | 23 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $139 | 72.10% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $139 | 72.10% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $139 | 72.11% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $139 | 72.08% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $139 | 72.09% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $139 | 72.10% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $139 | 72.10% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $139 | 72.04% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $139 | 72.15% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $139 | 72.48% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $139 | 72.49% | 23 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $139 | 72.40% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $139 | 72.11% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $139 | 72.19% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $139 | 72.19% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $139 | 72.19% | 25 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $139 | 72.17% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 0.0%classified 14.9%extraordinary 5.8%covert 40.7%restricted 20.7%#ffd700 0.4%#8847ff 0.5%epic 2.5%pink 4.1%red 10.5%best hit $1,244 (8.95x)