Бриллианты

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$53.99

Advertised RTP

73.48%

EV $39.67 from 33 items

Observed RTP, 30d

72.93%

902 openings, odds method

Variance

0.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

41.3%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

87.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

76.55%±8.59116 openings

7 days

73.06%±3.60754 openings

30 days

72.93%±3.33902 openings

since tracking started

72.93%±3.33902 openings

67.5%76.8%86.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	116	76.55%±8.59	+0.7σ	odds
7d	754	73.06%±3.60	−0.5σ	odds
30d	902	72.93%±3.33	−0.7σ	odds
All	902	72.93%±3.33	−0.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 902 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 9,220	$867	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 8,754	$729	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 7,601	$559	0.2%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 7,409	$540	0.2%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 6,437	$464	0.2%	0	0.1	—
★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 4,455	$354	0.2%	1	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 2,003	$240	0.3%	0	0.5	—
MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,473	$212	0.4%	0	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 1,172	$194	0.4%	2	0.8	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 840	$171	0.5%	0	1.1	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 694	$160	0.6%	0	1.3	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 361	$127	0.9%	0	2.5	0.00×
★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 345	$125	0.9%	1	2.6	0.38×
AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 339	$124	0.9%	2	2.7	0.75×
AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 311	$120	1.0%	2	2.9	0.69×
★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 303	$119	1.0%	7	3.0	2.35×
AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 282	$116	1.0%	6	3.2	1.87×
M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 231	$108	1.2%	6	3.9	1.54×
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 180	$99.43	1.4%	2	5.0	0.40×
SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 149	$93.16	1.6%	6	6.0	0.99×
★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 117	$85.57	1.8%	7	7.7	0.91×
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert	1 in 68	$70.73	2.6%	18	13.3	1.35×
P2000 \| Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 61	$68.35	2.8%	8	14.7	0.54×
Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 60	$67.85	2.8%	14	15.0	0.93×
M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 33	$55.15	4.2%	22	27.0	0.81×
USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 19	$44.87	6.0%	46	47.7	0.96×
AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 14	$39.70	7.4%	67	66.3	1.01×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 13	$39.13	7.5%	60	68.8	0.87×
FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 12	$37.82	8.0%	65	75.3	0.86×
P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 11	$36.49	8.4%	74	82.6	0.90×
Sir Bloody Darryl Royale \| The Professionalsagent · Ancient	11.7%	$33.20	9.8%	86	105.1	0.82×
USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	12.8%	$31.93	10.3%	87	115.9	0.75×
P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	25.0%	$23.99	15.1%	211	225.7	0.93×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covertAndo$53.99$31.280.58x15m

P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkAndo$53.99$37.190.69x15m

Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertchokh9$53.99$39.130.72x1h

Sir Bloody Darryl Royale | The Professionalsagent · Ancientz3d$53.99$33.200.61x1h

P250 | Apep's Curse (Field-Tested)weapon · pink🩶L,E,K,A🩶$53.99$36.490.68x1h

USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covertMindFree$53.99$31.930.59x1h

AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covertMindFree$53.99$39.700.74x1h

FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkMindFree$53.99$37.820.70x1h

AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covertMindFree$53.99$39.700.74x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 73.48%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC	$53.99	73.48%	33
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$53.99	73.30%	33
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$53.99	73.13%	33
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$53.99	73.11%	33
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$53.99	73.40%	33
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$53.99	73.71%	33
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$53.99	73.72%	33
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$53.99	73.70%	33
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$53.99	73.77%	33
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$53.99	73.83%	33
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$53.99	74.24%	33
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$53.99	74.22%	33
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$53.99	74.21%	33
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$53.99	74.24%	33
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$53.99	74.23%	33
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$53.99	74.24%	33
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$53.99	74.24%	33
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$53.99	74.22%	33
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$53.99	74.22%	33
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$53.99	74.24%	33
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$53.99	74.24%	33
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$53.99	74.17%	34
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$53.99	74.29%	34
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$53.99	74.63%	34
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$53.99	74.64%	34
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$53.99	74.54%	34
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$53.99	74.24%	34
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$53.99	74.33%	34
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$53.99	74.33%	34
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$53.99	74.33%	34

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 33.2%extraordinary 1.2%rare 0.0%covert 29.8%sunny 0.0%mil spec 1.7%red 0.1%gold 0.1%covert knife 0.3%Covert 1.5%restricted 3.0%pink 17.5%Ancient 11.7%best hit —