Charger Super Bee
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$1.89
Advertised RTP
74.13%
EV $1.40 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
71.73%
2,948 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 74.73% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (68.77% – 74.69%, 2,948 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,948 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 74.13%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.89 | 74.13% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.89 | 73.90% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.89 | 73.73% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.89 | 73.68% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.89 | 73.97% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.89 | 74.32% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.89 | 74.27% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.89 | 74.35% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.89 | 74.41% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.89 | 74.48% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.89 | 74.80% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.89 | 74.80% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.89 | 74.76% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.89 | 74.84% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.89 | 74.76% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.89 | 74.82% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.89 | 74.86% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.89 | 74.81% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.89 | 74.88% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.89 | 74.91% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.89 | 74.86% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.89 | 74.78% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.89 | 74.85% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.89 | 75.26% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.89 | 75.19% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.89 | 75.15% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.89 | 74.89% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.89 | 75.00% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.89 | 74.92% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.89 | 74.91% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%red 0.0%classified 0.6%pink 0.9%Rare 6.2%#d32ee6 0.2%restricted 26.5%Legendary 4.6%Mythical 14.8%violet 18.1%#d32ce6 9.0%#8847ff 19.2%best hit —