Cheap gloves mining
A case on csgo.net (Mining), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$1.09
Advertised RTP
63.44%
EV $0.69 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
3197.31%
229 openings, odds method
Variance
18.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 76
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
98.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 229 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 229 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 580 | $52.94 | 13.2% | 35 | 0.4 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 371 | $39.80 | 15.5% | 38 | 0.6 | — |
| ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 325 | $37.19 | 16.5% | 27 | 0.7 | — |
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 174 | $28.19 | 23.4% | 63 | 1.3 | 47.92× |
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 173 | $28.12 | 23.5% | 60 | 1.3 | 45.35× |
| Dual Berettas | Stained (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 24.4% | $0.07 | 2.4% | 0 | 56.0 | 0.00× |
| USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 21.1% | $0.06 | 1.8% | 0 | 48.3 | 0.00× |
| P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial | 19.6% | $0.05 | 1.5% | 0 | 44.9 | 0.00× |
| Galil AR | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2 | 17.8% | $0.05 | 1.3% | 0 | 40.7 | 0.00× |
| AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff | 15.2% | $0.04 | 0.9% | 0 | 34.8 | 0.00× |
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 63.44%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.09 | 63.44% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.09 | 63.31% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.09 | 63.28% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.09 | 63.52% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.09 | 63.83% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.84% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.82% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.84% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.09 | 63.89% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.09 | 64.28% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.09 | 64.23% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.09 | 64.22% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.09 | 64.26% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.09 | 64.28% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.09 | 64.25% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.27% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.26% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.26% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.26% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.24% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.09 | 64.21% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.30% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.09 | 64.60% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.09 | 64.59% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.54% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.25% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.34% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.09 | 64.32% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.09 | 64.36% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $1.09 | 64.34% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 17.8%extraordinary 1.6%Immortal 0.3%industrial 65.1%#87c7ff 15.2%best hit —