Колосс Родосский
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$679.00
Advertised RTP
67.21%
EV $456.35 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
70.65%
77 openings, odds method
Variance
0.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
36.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 77 openings and 28.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 77 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 67.21%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $679 | 67.21% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $679 | 67.04% | 21 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $679 | 66.89% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $679 | 66.87% | 21 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $679 | 67.13% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $679 | 67.42% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $679 | 67.43% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $679 | 67.41% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $679 | 67.47% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $679 | 67.53% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $679 | 67.91% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $679 | 67.88% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $679 | 67.87% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $679 | 67.91% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $679 | 67.88% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $679 | 67.89% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $679 | 67.90% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $679 | 67.84% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $679 | 67.95% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $679 | 68.26% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $679 | 68.27% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $679 | 68.18% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $679 | 67.91% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $679 | 67.99% | 22 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $679 | 67.98% | 22 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $679 | 67.99% | 22 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 36.5%contraband 0.0%classified 19.4%extraordinary 28.9%restricted 11.3%gold 3.9%best hit $2,792 (4.11x)