ДБД: Джейсон Вурхиз
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$0.10
Advertised RTP
76.77%
EV $0.08 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.15%
1,128 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
34.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 77.65% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (82.41% – 91.88%, 1,128 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,133 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.77%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.10 | 76.77% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.10 | 76.68% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.10 | 76.49% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.10 | 76.61% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.10 | 76.79% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.10 | 77.09% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.10 | 77.17% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.10 | 77.16% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.10 | 77.06% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.10 | 77.12% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.10 | 77.45% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.10 | 77.65% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.10 | 77.62% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.10 | 77.52% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.10 | 77.58% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.10 | 77.77% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.10 | 77.69% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.10 | 77.58% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.10 | 77.51% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.10 | 77.71% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.10 | 77.67% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.10 | 77.52% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.10 | 77.68% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.10 | 77.94% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.10 | 77.87% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.10 | 77.79% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.10 | 77.64% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.10 | 77.77% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.10 | 77.69% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.10 | 77.73% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.0%Rare 3.3%#8847ff 0.5%#d32ce6 0.0%restricted 0.1%violet 0.0%common 0.1%blue 8.6%milspec 38.0%#4b69ff 20.1%mil spec 4.9%Uncommon 12.1%#5e98d9 12.2%best hit —