Изи перчатки

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$13.99
Advertised RTP
67.71%
EV $9.47 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
69.77%
825 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
61.62%±26.54118 openings
7 days
68.38%±10.80710 openings
30 days
69.77%±10.02825 openings
since tracking started
69.77%±10.02825 openings
34.5%61.7%89.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h11861.62%±26.5−0.4σodds
7d71068.38%±10.8+0.0σodds
30d82569.77%±10.0+0.3σodds
All82569.77%±10.0+0.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 826 openings, 30 days

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 67.71%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$13.9967.71%12
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$13.9967.57%12
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$13.9967.54%12
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$13.9967.81%12
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$13.9968.10%12
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$13.9968.10%12
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$13.9968.11%12
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$13.9968.15%12
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$13.9968.19%12
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$13.9968.59%12
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$13.9968.57%12
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$13.9968.56%12
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$13.9968.59%12
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$13.9968.58%12
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$13.9968.59%12
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9968.61%12
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9968.59%12
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$13.9968.57%12
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$13.9968.57%12
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9968.58%12
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9968.53%12
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$13.9968.64%12
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$13.9968.93%12
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$13.9968.93%12
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$13.9968.87%12
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$13.9968.60%12
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$13.9968.68%12
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$13.9968.68%12
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$13.9968.66%12
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$13.9968.63%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 17.2%restricted 82.8%best hit —