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First Person Blackjack$4,2002.47xMines$186138.7xGates of Olympus 1000$1,1931.80xCase Battles$1,2269.32xSamurai Kitty$18.37165.3xMines$186138.7xCase Battles$1,7491.10xSoaked By Seamen$21.2K8.83xMahjong Ways 2$1,076107.6xGates of Olympus 1000$5,3008.00xImmersive Roulette$1,4401.88xVIP Blackjack 4 – Ruby$1,0012.00xPrivé Lounge 1$2,0002.00xWanted Dead or a Wild$1,46810.32xMines$186138.7xImmersive Roulette$1,8002.25xGates of Olympus Super Scatter$3,3812.41xImmersive Roulette$1,8021.60xMoney Coming 30000$3,00230.00xMines$186138.7xKeno$1,0005.00xJohn Hunter and the Tomb of the Scarab Queen$11K24.60xMines$63.94356.6xMines$186138.7x

Изи нож

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$13.99
Advertised RTP
62.51%
EV $8.75 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
59.91%
1,583 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
48.16%±18.32214 openings
7 days
60.21%±7.151,423 openings
30 days
59.91%±6.781,583 openings
since tracking started
59.91%±6.781,583 openings
29.0%48.5%68.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h21448.16%±18.3−1.5σodds
7d1,42360.21%±7.15−0.8σodds
30d1,58359.91%±6.78−0.9σodds
All1,58359.91%±6.78−0.9σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,584 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,107$1541.6%01.40.00×
★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 690$1292.1%32.31.31×
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 483$1142.7%33.30.91×
★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 374$1043.2%74.21.65×
★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 136$73.366.2%611.60.52×
★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 111$68.287.1%1314.30.91×
★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 61$55.6510.4%2025.90.77×
★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 25$40.7418.6%6663.41.04×
★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 21$38.4820.7%6474.50.86×
★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 21$38.3120.9%6975.40.92×
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff47.0%$0.784.2%722744.00.97×
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted35.6%$0.592.4%571563.61.01×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedDaBuggs$13.99$0.590.04x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffRico$13.99$0.780.06x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffRico$13.99$0.780.06x
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedRico$13.99$0.590.04x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffRico$13.99$0.780.06x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffRico$13.99$0.780.06x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffDaredevil$13.99$0.780.06x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffDaredevil$13.99$0.780.06x
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffDaredevil$13.99$0.780.06x
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedDaredevil$13.99$0.590.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 62.51%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$13.9962.51%12
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$13.9962.36%12
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$13.9962.34%12
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$13.9962.59%12
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$13.9962.88%12
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$13.9962.89%12
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$13.9962.88%12
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$13.9962.90%12
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$13.9962.96%12
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$13.9963.33%12
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$13.9963.31%12
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$13.9963.30%12
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$13.9963.31%12
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$13.9963.30%12
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$13.9963.32%12
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9963.30%12
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9963.28%12
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$13.9963.29%12
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$13.9963.31%12
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9963.31%12
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9963.26%12
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$13.9963.38%12
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$13.9963.63%12
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$13.9963.64%12
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$13.9963.55%12
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$13.9963.31%12
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$13.9963.37%12
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$13.9963.37%12
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$13.9963.41%12
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$13.9963.39%12
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 6.1%sunny 0.2%gold 0.7%covert knife 5.6%#ffd700 4.8%#8847ff 47.0%restricted 35.6%best hit —