Победители EWC
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$12.99
Advertised RTP
71.59%
EV $9.30 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
71.94%
503 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
28.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 504 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 71.59%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $12.99 | 71.59% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $12.99 | 71.43% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $12.99 | 71.42% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $12.99 | 71.68% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $12.99 | 72.00% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $12.99 | 72.01% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $12.99 | 71.99% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $12.99 | 72.06% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $12.99 | 72.11% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $12.99 | 72.49% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $12.99 | 72.48% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $12.99 | 72.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $12.99 | 72.51% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.53% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.50% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.51% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $12.99 | 72.46% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.55% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $12.99 | 72.89% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $12.99 | 72.91% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.81% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.52% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.61% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $12.99 | 72.59% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $12.99 | 72.61% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $12.99 | 72.58% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%Immortal 0.0%sunny 0.0%rare 9.1%extraordinary 0.0%classified 24.8%red 0.8%Ancient 0.2%restricted 9.4%Legendary 11.9%pink 25.9%#d32ce6 7.5%violet 9.3%best hit —