Five-SeveN

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$1.29

Advertised RTP

60.37%

EV $0.78 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d

57.99%

415 openings, odds method

Variance

1.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

24.2%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

84.9%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

74 openings · below min

7 days

57.46%±12.35378 openings

30 days

57.99%±11.79415 openings

since tracking started

57.99%±11.79415 openings

27.0%55.0%83.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	74	55.07%±27.5	—	odds
7d	378	57.46%±12.3	−0.6σ	odds
30d	415	57.99%±11.8	−0.5σ	odds
All	415	57.99%±11.8	−0.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 415 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 199,944	$533	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 199,284	$227	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 198,601	$181	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 187,689	$86.20	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 181,730	$74.76	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 161,283	$55.93	0.0%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 152,199	$51.14	0.0%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Nitro (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 70,775	$28.43	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 30,602	$19.63	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 30,347	$19.57	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Anodized Gunmetal (Factory New)weapon · Common	1 in 8,150	$12.10	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 6,995	$11.47	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,505	$11.19	0.2%	0	0.1	—
Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,268	$10.40	0.3%	0	0.1	—
Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 136	$2.93	2.8%	10	3.1	3.27×
Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 104	$2.66	3.3%	2	4.0	0.50×
Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	1 in 103	$2.65	3.3%	0	4.0	0.00×
Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 83	$2.44	3.8%	4	5.0	0.80×
Five-SeveN \| Kami (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 81	$2.42	3.8%	1	5.1	0.20×
Five-SeveN \| Nightshade (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 69	$2.27	4.3%	4	6.1	0.66×
Five-SeveN \| Contractor (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer	1 in 53	$2.05	5.0%	0	7.9	0.00×
Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 51	$2.03	5.1%	0	8.1	0.00×
Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 22	$1.41	8.3%	35	19.0	1.84×
Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 11	$0.97	11.4%	34	38.0	0.90×
Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade	11.4%	$0.82	12.0%	0	47.3	0.00×
Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	15.9%	$0.53	10.8%	35	66.0	0.53×
Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	16.4%	$0.46	9.8%	89	68.1	1.31×
Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	16.1%	$0.36	7.3%	41	66.7	0.61×
Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	16.0%	$0.35	7.1%	69	66.3	1.04×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedRico$1.29$0.470.36x30m

Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffRico$1.29$0.360.28x30m

Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedOgurchik$1.29$0.470.36x1h

Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specPenguin$1.29$0.500.39x1h

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested)weapon · violetPenguin$1.29$1.411.09x1h

Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specПора домой$1.29$0.500.39x1h

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)weapon · violetxco5$1.29$0.350.27x3h

Five-SeveN | Capillary (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffскрытопульный бл$1.29$0.350.27x3h

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested)weapon · violetRADUM1Xツ$1.29$1.411.09x3h

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)weapon · violetRADUM1Xツ$1.29$0.350.27x3h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 60.37%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$1.29	60.37%	29
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$1.29	60.26%	29
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$1.29	60.22%	29
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$1.29	60.48%	29
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$1.29	60.74%	29
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$1.29	60.70%	29
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$1.29	60.71%	29
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$1.29	60.78%	29
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$1.29	60.91%	29
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$1.29	61.14%	29
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$1.29	61.15%	29
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$1.29	61.09%	29
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$1.29	61.17%	29
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$1.29	61.10%	29
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$1.29	61.15%	29
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$1.29	61.17%	29
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$1.29	61.15%	29
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$1.29	61.12%	29
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$1.29	61.20%	29
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$1.29	61.20%	29
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$1.29	61.14%	29
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$1.29	61.20%	29
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$1.29	61.49%	29
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$1.29	61.52%	28
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$1.29	61.42%	28
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$1.29	61.15%	28
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$1.29	61.30%	28
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$1.29	61.30%	28
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$1.29	61.29%	28
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC	$1.29	61.26%	28

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 16.5%covert 0.0%classified 0.0%mil spec 17.1%industrial 2.0%Legendary 0.0%Common 0.0%#8847ff 9.9%violet 21.5%consumer 2.9%Rare 1.2%Mil Spec Grade 1.5%Industrial Grade 11.4%#4b69ff 16.1%best hit —