GI2GI
A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$19.99
Advertised RTP
73.95%
EV $14.78 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.77%
966 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 966 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 73.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $19.99 | 73.95% | 31 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $19.99 | 73.79% | 31 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $19.99 | 73.77% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $19.99 | 74.05% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $19.99 | 74.37% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.38% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.36% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.43% | 32 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $19.99 | 74.50% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $19.99 | 74.91% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $19.99 | 74.88% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $19.99 | 74.87% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $19.99 | 74.91% | 32 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.92% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.88% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 32 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.90% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $19.99 | 74.84% | 32 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $19.99 | 74.95% | 32 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $19.99 | 75.29% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $19.99 | 75.31% | 32 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $19.99 | 75.21% | 32 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $19.99 | 74.92% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $19.99 | 75.01% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $19.99 | 75.00% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $19.99 | 75.00% | 32 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $19.99 | 74.98% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.8%gold 0.1%legendary 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%sunny 0.1%rare 0.1%Immortal 0.1%epic 0.2%Covert 0.1%red 2.7%Ancient 9.3%classified 40.0%#eb4b4b 12.7%pink 31.7%best hit —