Зеленая коллекция
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$0.06
Advertised RTP
58.48%
EV $0.04 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
132.70%
898 openings, odds method
Variance
0.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 59.26% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (129.28% – 136.12%, 898 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 898 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 58.48%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.06 | 58.48% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.06 | 58.45% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.06 | 58.34% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.06 | 58.38% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.06 | 58.40% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.06 | 58.81% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.06 | 59.01% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.06 | 59.07% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.06 | 58.82% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.06 | 59.11% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.06 | 59.47% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.06 | 59.47% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.06 | 59.62% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.06 | 59.51% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.06 | 59.48% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.06 | 59.36% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.19% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.06 | 58.69% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.29% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.50% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.59% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.06 | 59.35% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.39% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.06 | 59.74% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.06 | 59.63% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.43% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.22% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.69% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.06 | 59.49% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.06 | 59.50% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedLegendary 0.0%restricted 0.0%#8847ff 0.0%classified 0.0%Rare 0.7%mil spec 0.1%violet 0.0%#4b69ff 5.8%milspec 5.8%#5e98d9 0.4%Uncommon 12.9%blue 1.9%industrial 40.8%consumer 15.8%#777777 15.8%best hit —