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Охотничий домик

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$13.99
Advertised RTP
74.07%
EV $10.36 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.50%
152 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
81.85%±13.25127 openings
30 days
79.50%±11.93152 openings
since tracking started
79.50%±11.93152 openings
67.0%81.5%96.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d12781.85%±13.3+1.0σodds
30d15279.50%±11.9+0.8σodds
All15279.50%±11.9+0.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 158 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 9,821$5560.5%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal1 in 9,397$3650.4%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 8,617$2690.3%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Field-Tested)gloves · rare1 in 7,613$2150.3%00.0—
★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 5,959$1660.3%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested)gloves · rare1 in 5,130$1480.3%00.0—
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 2,690$1040.4%00.1—
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,137$94.010.4%00.1—
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,369$78.320.6%00.1—
AK-47 | B the Monster (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 729$61.610.8%10.2—
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 551$55.531.0%00.3—
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 413$49.971.2%00.4—
AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 333$46.211.3%00.5—
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 193$37.771.9%20.8—
MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 131$32.732.4%11.20.83×
USP-S | Business Class (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 62$24.423.8%02.50.00×
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 60$24.083.9%62.62.29×
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 29$17.265.8%75.51.27×
Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 23$15.426.5%126.91.75×
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested)weapon · Classified1 in 22$14.886.7%107.31.37×
AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 16$12.207.5%610.10.60×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 15$11.877.6%1310.51.24×
SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 14$11.507.7%710.90.64×
P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 12$9.717.9%1413.31.05×
AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · pink10.5%$6.977.0%1416.50.85×
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink10.7%$6.376.6%116.90.06×
MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon10.8%$5.996.2%1417.10.82×
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon10.8%$5.375.6%2317.11.35×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified10.8%$5.135.3%217.00.12×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommonclown numb the pain$13.99$5.510.39x
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedclown numb the pain$13.99$24.021.72x
SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested)weapon · mil speczaken1$13.99$11.840.85x
P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedzaken1$13.99$9.700.69x
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested)weapon · Classifiedzaken1$13.99$14.881.06x
AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedzaken1$13.99$12.540.90x
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommonzaken1$13.99$5.800.41x
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedzaken1$13.99$24.031.72x
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested)weapon · classified2JZ-GTE BIG TURBINA))))$13.99$8.260.59x
AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · pink2JZ-GTE BIG TURBINA))))$13.99$6.560.47x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 74.07%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC$13.9974.07%29
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$13.9973.89%29
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$13.9973.70%29
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$13.9973.70%29
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$13.9973.98%29
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$13.9974.29%29
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$13.9974.30%29
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$13.9974.28%29
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$13.9974.36%28
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$13.9974.42%28
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$13.9974.83%28
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$13.9974.81%28
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$13.9974.79%28
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$13.9974.82%29
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$13.9974.82%28
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$13.9974.82%28
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9974.84%27
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9974.81%28
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$13.9974.82%28
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$13.9974.83%27
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9974.83%27
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9974.75%28
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$13.9974.87%28
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$13.9975.21%28
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$13.9975.22%28
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$13.9975.13%28
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$13.9974.82%27
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$13.9974.93%29
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$13.9974.91%27
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$13.9974.92%28
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.1%Immortal 0.0%rare 0.5%epic 0.0%red 0.8%mil spec 8.5%classified 41.7%Classified 4.6%pink 21.2%uncommon 21.6%best hit —