Охотник #1

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$0.68

Advertised RTP

76.26%

EV $0.52 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d

—

no counted openings

Variance

1.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

29.6%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

62.4%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	—	—	—
7d	—	—	—
30d	—	—	—
All	—	—	—

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Hot / cold
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 199,645	$208	0.2%	—
Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 197,202	$104	0.1%	—
P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 196,546	$96.97	0.1%	—
SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 196,113	$93.16	0.1%	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert	1 in 191,336	$70.73	0.1%	—
AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 183,197	$55.90	0.1%	—
M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 182,889	$55.53	0.1%	—
M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 179,444	$51.91	0.1%	—
★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 176,092	$49.05	0.1%	—
AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 160,138	$40.08	0.0%	—
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 159,737	$39.91	0.0%	—
★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife	1 in 159,634	$39.87	0.0%	—
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 157,810	$39.13	0.0%	—
MAC-10 \| Stalker (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 137,281	$32.73	0.0%	—
M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 131,698	$31.37	0.0%	—
AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 126,090	$30.12	0.0%	—
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 89,518	$23.50	0.1%	—
Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 63,094	$19.46	0.1%	—
SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 41,736	$16.15	0.1%	—
MP9 \| Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 17,983	$11.64	0.1%	—
SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 7,305	$8.44	0.2%	—
MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 3,343	$6.45	0.4%	—
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,757	$5.18	0.6%	—
M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 1,216	$4.56	0.7%	—
AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 924	$4.15	0.9%	—
AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 743	$3.85	1.0%	—
USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 577	$3.53	1.2%	—
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 369	$3.02	1.6%	—
AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 179	$2.34	2.5%	—
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 24	$1.05	8.3%	—
SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 20	$0.95	9.3%	—
AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 18	$0.91	9.6%	—
AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 17	$0.87	9.9%	—
CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 13	$0.75	11.0%	—
M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 13	$0.72	11.1%	—
MAC-10 \| Allure (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	13.7%	$0.37	9.7%	—
MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	13.7%	$0.29	7.8%	—
SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	13.1%	$0.25	6.2%	—
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	12.6%	$0.23	5.5%	—
Glock-18 \| Winterized (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 19	$0.07	0.7%	—
Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 24	$0.06	0.4%	—

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC	$0.68	76.26%	41
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$0.68	75.97%	41
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$0.68	75.77%	41
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$0.68	75.82%	41
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$0.68	76.23%	41
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$0.68	76.49%	41
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$0.68	76.57%	41
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$0.68	76.40%	41
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$0.68	76.59%	41
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$0.68	76.49%	41
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$0.68	77.06%	41
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$0.68	77.00%	41
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$0.68	76.94%	41
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$0.68	77.06%	41
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$0.68	77.13%	41
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$0.68	77.03%	41
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$0.68	77.10%	41
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$0.68	76.91%	41
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$0.68	76.99%	41
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$0.68	77.17%	41
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$0.68	77.07%	41
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$0.68	76.99%	41
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$0.68	77.25%	41
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$0.68	77.38%	41
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$0.68	77.49%	41
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$0.68	77.32%	41
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$0.68	77.23%	41
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$0.68	77.21%	41
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$0.68	77.15%	41
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$0.68	77.19%	41

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%Covert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%covert knife 0.0%Ancient 0.0%pink 0.0%Legendary 0.1%#d32ee6 0.0%restricted 11.8%classified 0.3%Mythical 0.1%#8847ff 19.6%Rare 5.5%#4b69ff 5.9%mil spec 20.6%blue 13.7%milspec 22.4%