Лучшему охотнику

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$6.79
Advertised RTP
76.38%
EV $5.19 from 48 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.8%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 191,214$6390.1%00.0—
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 168,111$3980.0%00.0—
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 109,094$2430.0%00.0—
AWP | Oni Taiji (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 80,328$2000.0%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 74,458$1920.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 48,443$1560.1%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Immortal1 in 42,345$1470.1%00.0—
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested)gloves · gold1 in 41,109$1460.1%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 24,679$1190.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 21,962$1140.1%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 19,662$1090.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 18,767$1070.1%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 18,650$1070.1%00.0—
P250 | See Ya Later (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 14,241$96.970.1%00.0—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 12,736$93.160.1%00.0—
AWP | BOOM (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 9,951$85.340.2%00.0—
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 8,057$79.240.2%00.0—
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 7,433$77.050.2%00.0—
M4A4 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 6,253$72.550.2%00.0—
P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,812$70.730.2%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 4,961$66.970.3%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 4,223$63.350.3%00.0—
AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 2,934$55.900.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert1 in 2,300$51.420.4%00.0—
★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 1,708$46.430.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,112$40.080.7%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,089$39.780.7%00.0—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 860$36.680.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 774$35.370.9%00.0—
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 578$31.941.1%00.0—
USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 577$31.931.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 514$30.661.2%00.0—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 260$24.081.8%00.0—
MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 43$11.925.4%00.0—
Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 42$11.855.4%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 41$11.735.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 22$8.717.5%00.0—
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 14$6.448.8%00.0—
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 14$6.378.8%00.0—
MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 13$6.158.8%00.0—
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 11$5.138.8%00.0—
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 10$4.488.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical10.3%$3.857.7%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Field-Tested)weapon · pink10.4%$3.006.0%00.0—
Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 12$1.792.9%00.0—
UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested)weapon · 31 in 15$1.251.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 16$1.191.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 22$0.840.7%00.0—
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC$6.7976.38%48
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$6.7976.19%48
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$6.7976.00%48
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$6.7976.00%48
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$6.7976.26%48
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$6.7976.61%48
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$6.7976.64%48
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$6.7976.60%48
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$6.7976.67%48
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$6.7976.72%48
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$6.7977.16%48
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$6.7977.15%48
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$6.7977.12%48
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$6.7977.16%48
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$6.7977.16%48
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$6.7977.16%48
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$6.7977.17%48
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$6.7977.15%48
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$6.7977.14%48
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$6.7977.15%48
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$6.7977.16%48
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$6.7977.09%48
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$6.7977.21%48
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$6.7977.55%48
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$6.7977.57%48
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$6.7977.48%48
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$6.7977.17%48
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$6.7977.25%48
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$6.7977.24%48
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$6.7977.26%48
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed3 6.5%covert 0.8%sunny 0.0%Immortal 0.0%gold 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%classified 14.1%#eb4b4b 0.0%Covert 0.0%Ancient 0.3%#d32ee6 9.4%violet 4.4%pink 34.8%Mythical 18.7%#8847ff 6.2%restricted 4.6%