Hurricane mining
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$0.13
Advertised RTP
60.72%
EV $0.08 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
2074.21%
4,101 openings, odds method
Variance
13.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 36
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 61.40% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (2062.77% – 2085.65%, 4,101 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,109 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 110,026 | $40.86 | 0.5% | 3 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 105,745 | $39.70 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 103,580 | $39.13 | 0.5% | 3 | 0.0 | — |
| M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested)weapon · Classified | 1 in 153 | $3.49 | 28.9% | 1,082 | 26.8 | 40.34× |
| AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical | 1 in 47 | $2.34 | 63.6% | 2,953 | 88.1 | 33.52× |
| PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Common | 97.2% | <$0.01 | 6.2% | 0 | 3994.0 | 0.00× |
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 60.72%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.13 | 60.72% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.13 | 60.58% | 6 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.13 | 60.65% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.13 | 60.76% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.13 | 60.76% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.13 | 61.15% | 6 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.13 | 61.12% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.13 | 61.23% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.13 | 61.21% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.13 | 61.24% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.13 | 61.54% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.13 | 61.55% | 6 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.13 | 61.56% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.13 | 61.59% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.13 | 61.62% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.13 | 61.57% | 6 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.13 | 61.55% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.13 | 61.61% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.13 | 61.53% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.13 | 61.52% | 6 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.13 | 61.59% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.13 | 61.55% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.13 | 61.62% | 6 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.13 | 61.73% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.13 | 61.89% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.13 | 61.85% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.13 | 61.57% | 6 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.13 | 61.59% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.13 | 61.41% | 6 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.13 | 61.43% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedAncient 0.0%covert 0.0%Classified 0.7%Mythical 2.1%Common 97.2%best hit $41.71 (320.8x)