Сафари на джипах

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$13.99
Advertised RTP
73.88%
EV $10.34 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 9,641$3950.4%00.0—
★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · legendary1 in 9,023$2770.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 7,897$2050.3%00.0—
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 7,536$1910.2%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested)gloves · rare1 in 5,980$1500.2%00.0—
★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife1 in 4,589$1240.3%00.0—
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 4,312$1200.3%00.0—
AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 3,149$1010.3%00.0—
★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal1 in 1,805$79.010.4%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,748$77.970.4%00.0—
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 801$57.580.7%00.0—
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 763$56.560.7%00.0—
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 406$44.841.1%00.0—
★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 200$34.621.7%00.0—
USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 145$30.732.0%00.0—
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 120$28.602.3%00.0—
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 77$24.073.0%00.0—
Tec-9 | Toxic (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 31$16.265.1%00.0—
P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 28$15.415.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 19$12.806.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 19$12.706.4%00.0—
MP9 | Setting Sun (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 18$12.396.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 16$11.476.8%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 14$10.407.2%00.0—
MP7 | Nemesis (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 12$8.837.4%00.0—
SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 11$8.777.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 10$7.697.3%00.0—
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff10.5%$6.927.0%00.0—
USP-S | Stainless (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff10.9%$6.416.8%00.0—
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified11.4%$5.135.7%00.0—
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$13.9973.88%30
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$13.9973.71%30
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$13.9973.69%30
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$13.9973.97%30
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$13.9974.30%30
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$13.9974.31%30
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$13.9974.29%30
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$13.9974.36%30
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$13.9974.42%30
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$13.9974.83%30
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$13.9974.80%30
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$13.9974.79%30
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$13.9974.81%30
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$13.9974.81%29
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$13.9974.81%29
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9974.84%29
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9974.80%29
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$13.9974.80%29
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$13.9974.83%29
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$13.9974.82%29
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$13.9974.75%29
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$13.9974.88%29
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$13.9975.22%29
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$13.9975.23%29
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$13.9975.13%29
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$13.9974.83%29
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$13.9974.92%30
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$13.9974.92%30
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$13.9974.91%30
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$13.9974.90%29
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.1%legendary 0.0%classified 36.5%red 0.7%rare 0.0%covert knife 0.0%Immortal 0.1%Ancient 0.1%extraordinary 0.5%mil spec 13.8%restricted 10.7%pink 5.2%violet 9.8%#8847ff 10.5%#4b69ff 10.9%