Lamborghini Revuelto
A case on csgo.net (Ultra), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$479.00
Advertised RTP
72.22%
EV $345.92 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.02%
55 openings, odds method
Variance
0.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 55 openings and 15.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 55 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 72.22%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC | $479 | 72.22% | 18 |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $479 | 72.49% | 18 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $479 | 72.30% | 18 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $479 | 72.14% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $479 | 72.12% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $479 | 72.40% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $479 | 72.72% | 18 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $479 | 72.73% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $479 | 72.71% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $479 | 72.77% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $479 | 72.83% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $479 | 73.24% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $479 | 73.21% | 18 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $479 | 73.20% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $479 | 73.23% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $479 | 73.23% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $479 | 73.23% | 18 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $479 | 73.24% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $479 | 73.21% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $479 | 73.22% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $479 | 73.23% | 18 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $479 | 73.23% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $479 | 73.17% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $479 | 73.29% | 18 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $479 | 73.62% | 18 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $479 | 73.63% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $479 | 73.54% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $479 | 73.24% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $479 | 73.33% | 18 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $479 | 73.32% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 30.6%gold 9.1%restricted 12.9%rare 11.9%extraordinary 12.1%exotic 7.3%epic 8.1%classified 7.9%best hit $1,146 (2.39x)