Необычный Зимний Приз

Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 199,785	$243	0.2%	0	0.0	—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 199,656	$208	0.2%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 196,936	$99.71	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 196,494	$95.26	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P250 | See Ya Later (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 196,425	$94.63	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AUG | Chameleon (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 193,390	$76.70	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 188,555	$63.34	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AWP | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 160,774	$39.83	0.0%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 149,745	$35.81	0.0%	0	0.0	—
AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 135,418	$31.85	0.0%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 129,457	$30.47	0.0%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 123,762	$29.25	0.0%	0	0.0	—
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 61,619	$18.99	0.1%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 26,401	$13.27	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 22,583	$12.50	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 21,396	$12.25	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 9,887	$9.26	0.2%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 3,284	$6.32	0.4%	0	0.0	—
AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,301	$4.60	0.7%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 967	$4.15	0.8%	0	0.0	—
AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 628	$3.58	1.1%	0	0.0	—
USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 404	$3.06	1.5%	0	0.0	—
G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 344	$2.89	1.6%	0	0.0	—
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 84	$1.71	4.0%	0	0.0	—
SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 21	$0.91	8.2%	0	0.0	—
P250 | Vino Primo (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 17	$0.78	9.1%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 14	$0.68	9.4%	0	0.1	—
USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 12	$0.61	9.5%	0	0.1	—
UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 12	$0.59	9.5%	0	0.1	—
Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 11	$0.49	9.0%	1	0.1	—
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 10	$0.45	8.6%	0	0.1	—
AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	10.2%	$0.38	7.4%	0	0.1	—
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	10.2%	$0.36	7.2%	0	0.1	—
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New)weapon · Rare	10.0%	$0.30	5.8%	0	0.1	—
Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 12	$0.21	3.4%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 19	$0.11	1.1%	0	0.1	—

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

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Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →

ItemPlayerPriceValueMultWhen

Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted✪ ufwack$0.68$0.500.73x2d

listedcovert 0.0%red 0.0%Ancient 0.0%classified 0.2%restricted 19.3%pink 0.0%Legendary 0.1%violet 21.3%Mythical 7.2%mil spec 18.3%Rare 19.9%#4b69ff 8.4%milspec 5.3%best hit —