Мавзолей в Галикарнасе

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$339.00

Advertised RTP

76.20%

EV $258.32 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d

71.48%

52 openings, odds method

Variance

0.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

29.4%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

81.2%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

11 openings · below min

7 days

49 openings · below min

30 days

52 openings · below min

since tracking started

52 openings · below min

18.5%52.3%86.0%

Small sample. 52 openings and 16.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	11	48.83%±29.8	—	odds
7d	49	68.90%±14.2	—	odds
30d	52	71.48%±13.8	—	odds
All	52	71.48%±13.8	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 52 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 177	$1,137	2.5%	1	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 103	$932	3.5%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 68	$792	4.5%	0	0.8	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 39	$632	6.2%	0	1.3	0.00×
AWP \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 29	$551	7.4%	2	1.8	1.11×
AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 25	$511	8.0%	0	2.1	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 17	$424	9.5%	3	3.0	1.00×
★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	10.6%	$264	10.8%	5	5.5	0.91×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	10.9%	$254	10.7%	7	5.7	1.23×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	12.0%	$217	10.1%	5	6.2	0.80×
AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	12.1%	$213	10.0%	6	6.3	0.96×
AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6	12.0%	$125	5.8%	1	6.2	0.16×
AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	11.9%	$123	5.7%	7	6.2	1.13×
★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	11.7%	$118	5.4%	5	6.1	0.82×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classifiedLXCKDOWN$339$1,1773.47x2d

★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covertfishjohn$339$6721.98x5d

AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covertLoading...$339$5771.70x7d

AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covertrbo$339$5401.59x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkMPC TURN OFF CAPS$339$1350.40x21h

★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$339$1190.35x21h

AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedVLIQ$339$1220.36x22h

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryVLIQ$339$2710.80x22h

AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)weapon · pinkVLIQ$339$1350.40x22h

★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$339$1200.35x22h

AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedMPC TURN OFF CAPS$339$1220.36x22h

AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6MPC TURN OFF CAPS$339$1350.40x22h

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryVLIQ$339$2780.82x22h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.20%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
12 Nov, 00:45 UTC	$339	76.20%	14
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC	$339	76.49%	15
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$339	76.29%	14
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$339	76.12%	14
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$339	76.10%	14
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$339	76.39%	14
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$339	76.73%	14
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$339	76.74%	15
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$339	76.72%	13
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$339	76.78%	14
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$339	76.85%	15
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$339	77.28%	15
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$339	77.25%	15
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$339	77.24%	15
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$339	77.27%	15
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$339	77.27%	14
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$339	77.27%	14
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$339	77.28%	14
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$339	77.25%	14
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$339	77.26%	14
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$339	77.27%	14
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$339	77.27%	14
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$339	77.21%	14
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$339	77.33%	15
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$339	77.68%	14
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$339	77.69%	14
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$339	77.59%	13
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$339	77.28%	13
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$339	77.38%	15
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$339	77.37%	14

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 12.5%covert 59.2%restricted 5.8%extraordinary 10.6%#d32ee6 12.0%best hit $1,177 (3.47x)