Nike Hyperslide

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$1.09
Advertised RTP
77.13%
EV $0.84 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.23%
19.3K openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
32.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
76.25%±2.383,795 openings
7 days
77.23%±1.0819.3K openings
30 days
77.23%±1.0819.3K openings
since tracking started
77.23%±1.0819.3K openings
73.0%76.3%79.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3,79576.25%±2.38−0.7σodds
7d19.3K77.23%±1.08−1.0σodds
30d19.3K77.23%±1.08−1.0σodds
All19.3K77.23%±1.08−1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 9,639$33.790.4%22.01.00×
M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 9,454$29.250.4%22.00.98×
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 8,998$23.490.3%22.10.93×
USP-S | Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 8,112$18.370.3%02.40.00×
AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 7,015$15.010.3%02.80.00×
M4A4 | Falak (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 6,726$14.350.3%32.91.04×
AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 5,879$12.700.3%53.31.52×
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 4,197$10.110.3%24.60.43×
AWP | The End (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 2,905$8.350.3%126.71.80×
USP-S | Stainless (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 1,578$6.410.5%1012.20.82×
P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 1,008$5.380.6%1319.20.68×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 912$5.180.7%221.20.09×
M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Field-Tested)weapon · Classified1 in 300$3.441.4%6764.41.04×
Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 194$2.931.8%13099.61.31×
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 96$2.242.8%266202.31.31×
AWP | PAW (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 69$1.973.4%325279.71.16×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 49$1.714.1%450391.91.15×
MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 38$1.534.8%150506.20.30×
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 32$1.415.2%604601.41.00×
Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)weapon · Mythical1 in 26$1.265.8%314753.10.42×
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 23$1.186.2%956853.31.12×
SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 18$1.036.8%1,1141072.11.04×
Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 14$0.887.3%7441355.10.55×
Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 13$0.837.4%1,4821457.51.02×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 13$0.797.5%1,6111535.71.05×
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 10$0.607.0%1,8911907.00.99×
MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted10.2%$0.566.8%1,8321978.40.93×
P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested)weapon · violet10.6%$0.496.2%2,0782055.71.01×
Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical10.7%$0.455.7%1,9642071.90.95×
Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)weapon · violet10.7%$0.415.2%1,9432064.10.94×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 77.13%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$1.0977.13%30
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$1.0976.89%30
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$1.0976.84%30
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$1.0977.22%30
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$1.0977.51%30
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$1.0977.56%30
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$1.0977.44%30
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$1.0977.52%30
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$1.0977.59%30
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$1.0978.10%30
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$1.0978.07%30
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$1.0977.97%30
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$1.0977.99%30
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$1.0977.98%30
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$1.0978.05%30
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$1.0978.00%30
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$1.0978.06%30
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$1.0978.08%30
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$1.0978.01%30
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$1.0978.14%30
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$1.0977.94%30
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$1.0978.10%30
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$1.0978.37%30
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 0.1%covert 0.0%pink 0.2%#4b69ff 0.1%Legendary 0.1%Classified 0.3%#8847ff 17.9%violet 25.5%Mythical 24.0%restricted 24.8%mil spec 7.0%best hit —