Princess mining
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$0.07
Advertised RTP
67.92%
EV $0.05 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
125.84%
1,460 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 68.59% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (122.82% – 128.85%, 1,460 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,463 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 67.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.07 | 67.92% | 14 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.07 | 67.44% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.07 | 67.84% | 15 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.07 | 68.11% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.07 | 68.28% | 16 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.26% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.21% | 15 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.10% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.07 | 68.01% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.07 | 68.74% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.07 | 68.68% | 16 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.07 | 68.76% | 16 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.07 | 68.63% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.07 | 68.68% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.07 | 68.46% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.87% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.68% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.51% | 15 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.44% | 16 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.69% | 16 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.07 | 68.63% | 15 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.89% | 17 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.07 | 69.08% | 17 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.07 | 69.27% | 14 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.86% | 15 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.85% | 16 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.89% | 16 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.07 | 68.92% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.07 | 69.04% | 15 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.07 | 68.48% | 16 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 0.0%restricted 0.1%Mythical 0.0%violet 0.2%blue 1.8%Rare 11.4%milspec 4.2%#4b69ff 11.3%Consumer 70.9%best hit —