RTX 5090

Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 660 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 8,147	$1,149	0.3%	0	0.1	—
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 8,102	$1,138	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 7,822	$1,074	0.3%	1	0.1	—
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 7,702	$1,050	0.3%	1	0.1	—
AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 7,630	$1,036	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 7,525	$1,016	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 4,644	$667	0.3%	0	0.1	—
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 3,694	$584	0.3%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 3,437	$563	0.3%	1	0.2	—
★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 3,318	$553	0.3%	0	0.2	—
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,576	$489	0.4%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,860	$424	0.5%	0	0.4	—
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 1,032	$335	0.6%	0	0.6	—
Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 875	$315	0.7%	0	0.8	—
AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 280	$205	1.5%	1	2.4	0.42×
M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 234	$191	1.6%	2	2.8	0.71×
★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 234	$191	1.6%	2	2.8	0.71×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 152	$162	2.1%	3	4.3	0.69×
AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 77	$122	3.1%	10	8.5	1.17×
AWP | CMYK (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 63	$111	3.5%	10	10.5	0.96×
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 50	$99.46	3.9%	3	13.2	0.23×
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 39	$87.48	4.4%	11	16.8	0.66×
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert	1 in 29	$72.12	5.0%	17	22.9	0.74×
Desert Eagle | Pilot (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 29	$71.95	5.0%	29	23.0	1.26×
P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 28	$70.56	5.0%	24	23.7	1.01×
M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 20	$52.68	5.2%	33	32.8	1.01×
AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 20	$51.77	5.2%	23	33.3	0.69×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 18	$44.54	4.9%	33	36.6	0.90×
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 17	$41.54	4.7%	35	37.8	0.93×
AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 17	$40.63	4.7%	54	38.1	1.42×
FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 17	$37.82	4.4%	32	38.8	0.82×
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 17	$35.81	4.2%	27	39.2	0.69×
AWP | LongDog (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 17	$35.04	4.1%	35	39.3	0.89×
USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 17	$33.79	4.0%	36	39.3	0.92×
AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 17	$32.87	3.9%	37	39.3	0.94×
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 17	$32.57	3.9%	45	39.3	1.14×
★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Field-Tested)gloves · gold	1 in 17	$32.33	3.8%	53	39.3	1.35×
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 18	$24.00	2.6%	35	36.7	0.95×
USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 18	$23.00	2.5%	6	36.0	0.17×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

ItemPlayerPriceValueMultWhen

★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700ytb: Lukasscz$68.99$1,13016.37x6d

M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedSAN4EZ$68.99$99414.41x1d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rareСвета Шумовая$68.99$5598.10x23h

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →

ItemPlayerPriceValueMultWhen

M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertRK$68.99$51.880.75x1m

USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedPROFIMAN$68.99$33.830.49x48m

AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedKetter$68.99$24.040.35x58m

Desert Eagle | Pilot (Well-Worn)weapon · restrictedmaior espetaculo da terra$68.99$72.811.06x1h

AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · AncientKeep™$68.99$40.810.59x1h

M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert🩶L,E,K,A🩶$68.99$52.050.75x1h

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient🩶L,E,K,A🩶$68.99$32.590.47x1h

AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified123123123$68.99$24.040.35x2h

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear)weapon · AncientkoloBAKA$68.99$32.590.47x3h

P90 | Death by Kitty (Field-Tested)weapon · covertkoloBAKA$68.99$70.671.02x3h

listedcovert 31.6%restricted 3.7%classified 23.2%#ffd700 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%rare 0.0%gold 6.0%red 13.9%sunny 0.4%Covert 3.5%Ancient 11.7%pink 5.9%best hit $1,130 (16.37x)