Статуя Зевса в Олимпии

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$169.00

Advertised RTP

76.52%

EV $129.32 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d

69.98%

101 openings, odds method

Variance

0.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

31.4%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

79.6%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

22 openings · below min

7 days

91 openings · below min

30 days

69.98%±10.93101 openings

since tracking started

69.98%±10.93101 openings

48.0%72.2%96.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	22	72.36%±23.5	—	odds
7d	91	69.36%±11.6	—	odds
30d	101	69.98%±10.9	−1.3σ	odds
All	101	69.98%±10.9	−1.3σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 101 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 2,339	$1,489	0.5%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 483	$865	1.4%	0	0.2	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 161	$584	2.8%	0	0.6	—
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700	1 in 45	$357	6.1%	2	2.2	0.90×
AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 38	$329	6.7%	0	2.7	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 34	$315	7.1%	1	3.0	0.34×
Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 22	$253	8.9%	3	4.6	0.65×
M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 14	$191	10.7%	8	7.3	1.10×
AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	11.0%	$122	10.4%	14	11.1	1.26×
★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	11.5%	$109	9.7%	10	11.6	0.86×
P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified	11.8%	$92.49	8.4%	14	11.9	1.18×
AK-47 \| First Class (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	11.8%	$91.11	8.3%	10	11.9	0.84×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · Covert	11.8%	$87.06	7.9%	7	11.9	0.59×
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert	11.3%	$72.12	6.3%	9	11.5	0.79×
★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	10.4%	$59.18	4.8%	9	10.6	0.85×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryMrBaraban1337$169$1090.65x3h

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedcudimel.lule$169$2521.49x8h

AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedMPC TURN OFF CAPS$169$1220.72x10h

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryVLIQ$169$59.020.35x10h

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · CovertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$169$87.860.52x10h

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryMPC TURN OFF CAPS$169$1070.63x10h

★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New)knife · #ffd700MPC TURN OFF CAPS$169$3622.14x11h

P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classifieddakkotaducs$169$90.830.54x11h

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · CovertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$169$70.390.42x11h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.52%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$169	76.52%	15
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$169	76.34%	15
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$169	76.33%	15
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$169	76.62%	15
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$169	76.96%	15
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$169	76.96%	15
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$169	76.95%	15
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$169	77.01%	15
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$169	77.08%	14
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$169	77.51%	14
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$169	77.48%	14
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$169	77.47%	14
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$169	77.50%	15
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$169	77.50%	16
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$169	77.50%	15
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$169	77.51%	15
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$169	77.48%	15
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$169	77.49%	15
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$169	77.50%	15
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$169	77.50%	15
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$169	77.43%	15
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$169	77.56%	15
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$169	77.91%	15
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$169	77.92%	15
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$169	77.82%	15
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$169	77.51%	15
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$169	77.60%	15
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$169	77.60%	15
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$169	77.60%	15
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC	$169	77.58%	15

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#ffd700 2.2%classified 25.6%extraordinary 22.5%restricted 19.3%red 7.2%Covert 23.1%best hit —