Ручной тигр
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$2.69
Advertised RTP
76.51%
EV $2.06 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.77%
63 openings, odds method
Variance
0.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
31.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 63 openings and 19.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 63 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.51%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.69 | 76.51% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.36% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.37% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.65% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.69 | 76.99% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.04% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.95% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.02% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.01% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.69 | 77.48% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.55% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.56% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.55% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.49% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.46% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.54% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.43% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.56% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.69 | 77.95% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.69 | 77.94% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.80% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.58% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.60% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.61% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.69 | 77.64% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $2.69 | 77.61% | 29 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%sunny 0.0%rare 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%mil spec 6.7%restricted 29.5%pink 2.9%classified 1.1%#d32ee6 0.3%industrial 2.4%Rare 14.8%Mythical 31.2%violet 11.0%best hit —