Училка
A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$0.14
Advertised RTP
75.96%
EV $0.11 from 28 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.73%
8,171 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
34.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 76.92% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (99.95% – 103.50%, 8,171 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,176 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 75.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.14 | 75.96% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.14 | 75.80% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.14 | 75.77% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.14 | 76.15% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.14 | 76.39% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.14 | 76.27% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.14 | 76.31% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.14 | 76.50% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.14 | 76.52% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.14 | 77.01% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.14 | 76.95% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.14 | 76.94% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.14 | 77.01% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.14 | 76.91% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.14 | 76.88% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.14 | 76.98% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.14 | 76.93% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.14 | 76.99% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.14 | 77.09% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.14 | 77.06% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.14 | 77.02% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.14 | 77.09% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.14 | 77.44% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.14 | 77.31% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.14 | 77.26% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.14 | 76.91% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.14 | 77.03% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.14 | 77.13% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.14 | 77.02% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.14 | 76.99% | 29 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 5.9%pink 0.0%Mythical 0.0%restricted 0.5%#8847ff 0.1%violet 0.1%mil spec 3.4%blue 11.4%Rare 1.0%milspec 25.4%#4b69ff 21.4%Uncommon 9.0%industrial 21.8%best hit —