Храм Артемиды Эфесской

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$509.00

Advertised RTP

76.22%

EV $387.95 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d

89.40%

34 openings, odds method

Variance

0.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

30.8%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

69.2%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

9 openings · below min

7 days

25 openings · below min

30 days

34 openings · below min

since tracking started

34 openings · below min

19.5%65.0%110.5%

Small sample. 34 openings and 10.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	9	51.63%±31.5	—	odds
7d	25	91.20%±18.5	—	odds
30d	34	89.40%±16.1	—	odds
All	34	89.40%±16.1	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 361	$2,204	1.6%	0	0.1	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 76	$1,240	4.2%	0	0.4	—
AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 48	$1,036	5.5%	1	0.7	—
M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 46	$1,016	5.7%	2	0.7	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 28	$817	7.4%	1	1.2	0.83×
AWP \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 15	$569	9.9%	1	2.3	0.43×
Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 15	$563	10.0%	3	2.3	1.28×
AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 13	$518	10.3%	2	2.6	0.76×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	11.1%	$353	10.1%	4	3.8	1.06×
★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	11.2%	$348	10.0%	4	3.8	1.05×
★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary	11.9%	$222	6.8%	6	4.1	1.48×
★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	11.9%	$216	6.6%	6	4.0	1.49×
UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New)weapon · classified	11.6%	$200	6.0%	2	4.0	0.51×
★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	11.5%	$195	5.8%	0	3.9	0.00×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | The Prince (Field-Tested)weapon · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$1,7363.41x5d

AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertVLIQ$509$1,0722.11x2d

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertihuntnoobs$509$8811.73x7d

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert\\_Fen1x_//$509$8411.65x4d

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$8381.65x1d

AK-47 | X-Ray (Well-Worn)weapon · covertPlaceonme$509$5841.15x5d

AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$5821.14x4d

AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covertГОЛЫЙ ПИСТОЛЕТ$509$5801.14x4d

Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rareihuntnoobs$509$5721.12x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryVEM PRA twitch.tv/jpndub$509$2220.44x7h

UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · classifiedVEM PRA twitch.tv/jpndub$509$2000.39x7h

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$2200.43x10h

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$2200.43x11h

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$2260.44x11h

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$4000.78x11h

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$3470.68x12h

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryzoom$509$3470.68x17h

UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · classifiedpup$509$1820.36x18h

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertMPC TURN OFF CAPS$509$8381.65x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.22%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$509	76.22%	14
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$509	76.04%	14
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$509	76.03%	14
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$509	76.32%	14
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$509	76.65%	14
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$509	76.66%	14
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$509	76.64%	14
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$509	76.71%	14
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$509	76.77%	14
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$509	77.21%	14
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$509	77.18%	14
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$509	77.17%	14
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$509	77.20%	14
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$509	77.20%	13
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$509	77.20%	13
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$509	77.21%	14
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$509	77.18%	13
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$509	77.19%	14
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$509	77.20%	14
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$509	77.20%	13
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$509	77.13%	13
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$509	77.25%	13
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$509	77.60%	14
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$509	77.61%	14
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$509	77.52%	14
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$509	77.21%	14
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$509	77.30%	14
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$509	77.29%	14
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$509	77.30%	14
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC	$509	77.27%	14

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 58.4%rare 6.9%extraordinary 23.1%classified 11.6%best hit $1,736 (3.41x)