gambatracker
Live
Big wins
Blackjack 30$3,3221.11xSweet Bonanza 1000$3,85919.28xPrivé Lounge 1$4,0002.00xRed Door Roulette$2,4571.23xBaccarat$3,4352.00xDuck Hunters Happy Hour$96.92121.2xDrac's Stacks$2,52817.99xWanted Dead or a Wild$6,6698.32xScarab Spin$3,12019.50xWaylanders Forge$3,5251,320xSports Betting$78K1.95xSweet Bonanza 1000$4,6586.96xBetter Barn House Bonanza$1,16554.85xShadow Strike$203454.3xPrive Lounge Blackjack 5$5,0002.50xMONOPOLY Big Baller$1,8029.00xFruit Party$6,5711.09xHiLo$1,2784.90xRoo Bonanza$51.2K2.77xCrash$1,3962.15xSweet Bonanza 2500$1,5397.28xHot to Burn$1,00010.00xZe Zeus$555103.6xCrash$4,5424.54x

Tesla Roadster

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price
$26.99
Advertised RTP
76.62%
EV $20.68 from 29 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.42%
5,202 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
36.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
79.61%±4.66963 openings
7 days
78.47%±2.164,499 openings
30 days
78.42%±2.025,202 openings
since tracking started
78.42%±2.025,202 openings
74.5%79.8%85.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h96379.61%±4.66+1.2σodds
7d4,49978.47%±2.16+1.0σodds
30d5,20278.42%±2.02+0.9σodds
All5,20278.42%±2.02+0.9σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,215 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 9,644$7940.4%20.5—
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 9,519$7160.4%10.5—
★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 9,015$5530.3%10.6—
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 8,638$4890.3%00.6—
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 8,100$4290.3%10.6—
★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal1 in 7,250$3650.2%10.7—
★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 5,117$2680.3%01.00.00×
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Field-Tested)gloves · rare1 in 3,562$2160.3%31.52.05×
M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · epic1 in 3,170$2040.3%11.60.61×
Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 1,965$1640.4%22.70.75×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,885$1620.4%22.80.72×
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 799$1160.7%66.50.92×
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 533$99.710.9%39.80.31×
R8 Revolver | Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 270$77.971.4%2219.31.14×
AWP | Sovereign Flame (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 243$75.081.5%1521.40.70×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 137$60.932.1%3937.91.03×
M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 56$43.243.7%10693.21.14×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 41$38.244.5%120126.10.95×
AWP | LongDog (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 34$35.045.0%157154.81.01×
AWP | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 32$34.375.2%105161.90.65×
MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 25$30.456.0%184211.60.87×
Charm | Lil' Eldritchcharm · Ancient1 in 18$26.197.0%296287.51.03×
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 15$24.007.5%317337.70.94×
AUG | Lil' Pig (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon1 in 12$21.058.2%394419.90.94×
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classified10.5%$17.398.8%515545.00.94×
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested)weapon · Classified12.4%$14.728.8%647644.91.00×
M4A4 | Falak (Well-Worn)weapon · pink12.6%$14.358.8%645658.40.98×
P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified14.0%$12.258.3%751728.61.03×
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)weapon · classified14.1%$11.958.2%706737.10.96×
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert777$26.99$82130.42x
★ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covertrina$26.99$79929.61x
M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested)weapon · covertDOTEX$26.99$72026.66x
★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covertВедьмак 3: Крепкая охота$26.99$56120.78x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedANTISOCIAL$26.99$11.970.44x
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedMethew J$26.99$17.260.64x
M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Field-Tested)weapon · redRK$26.99$43.291.60x
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested)weapon · ClassifiedInsite644$26.99$14.870.55x
AWP | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedInsite644$26.99$36.491.35x
Charm | Lil' Eldritchcharm · AncientInsite644$26.99$26.050.97x
P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedInsite644$26.99$12.190.45x
P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified🩶L,E,K,A🩶$26.99$12.220.45x
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested)weapon · ClassifiedСельский Слесарь$26.99$14.860.55x
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedPROFIMAN$26.99$17.260.64x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.62%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC$26.9976.62%29
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC$26.9976.45%29
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC$26.9976.43%29
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC$26.9976.72%29
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC$26.9977.06%29
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC$26.9977.07%29
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC$26.9977.05%29
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC$26.9977.12%29
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC$26.9977.19%29
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC$26.9977.62%29
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$26.9977.59%29
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$26.9977.58%29
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC$26.9977.61%29
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC$26.9977.60%29
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC$26.9977.60%29
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC$26.9977.61%29
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC$26.9977.59%29
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC$26.9977.60%29
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC$26.9977.61%29
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC$26.9977.61%29
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC$26.9977.54%29
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC$26.9977.66%29
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC$26.9978.01%29
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC$26.9978.03%29
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC$26.9977.93%29
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC$26.9977.61%29
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC$26.9977.71%29
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC$26.9977.70%29
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$26.9977.71%29
4 Nov, 14:19 UTC$26.9977.68%29
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 8.0%extraordinary 0.0%Immortal 0.0%rare 0.0%epic 0.0%red 5.2%classified 48.1%Ancient 5.5%uncommon 8.1%Classified 12.4%pink 12.6%best hit $821 (30.42x)