TIO_GAZA
A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$6.79
Advertised RTP
76.22%
EV $5.18 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.75%
1,154 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
33.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,154 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 76.22%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $6.79 | 76.22% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.79 | 76.00% | 30 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.79 | 75.88% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.79 | 75.85% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.79 | 76.12% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.79 | 76.47% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.47% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.45% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.52% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.59% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.79 | 76.97% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.03% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.02% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.02% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 76.99% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.79 | 76.99% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.00% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.03% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 76.94% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.05% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.79 | 77.41% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $6.79 | 77.43% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.31% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.01% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.12% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.09% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.79 | 77.09% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.3%classified 14.7%extraordinary 0.0%Ancient 0.4%red 0.1%#d32ee6 1.2%restricted 11.3%#8847ff 5.1%pink 13.5%#d32ce6 6.9%Legendary 20.5%Classified 6.8%mil spec 13.0%Mil Spec Grade 6.2%best hit —