Белая коллекция

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

Price

$1.09

Advertised RTP

60.41%

EV $0.66 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d

68.33%

1,203 openings, odds method

Variance

0.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

25.9%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

82.4%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

63.42%±8.80153 openings

7 days

68.62%±3.501,019 openings

30 days

68.33%±3.221,203 openings

since tracking started

68.33%±3.221,203 openings

54.0%63.5%73.0%

Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 60.92% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (65.10% – 71.55%, 1,203 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	153	63.42%±8.80	+0.7σ	odds
7d	1,019	68.62%±3.50	+4.4σ	odds
30d	1,203	68.33%±3.22	+4.5σ	odds
All	1,203	68.33%±3.22	+4.5σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,205 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 128,299	$42.21	0.0%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 117,551	$39.13	0.1%	0	0.0	—
USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 87,315	$31.93	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 82,065	$30.80	0.1%	0	0.0	—
USP-S \| Road Rash (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 71,179	$28.52	0.1%	0	0.0	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 44,630	$22.93	0.1%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 22,345	$17.40	0.1%	0	0.1	—
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 8,470	$12.26	0.2%	2	0.1	—
MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 7,825	$11.92	0.2%	0	0.2	—
Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 7,697	$11.85	0.2%	0	0.2	—
MP9 \| Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,301	$11.64	0.2%	1	0.2	—
Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,600	$10.61	0.3%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 701	$5.19	1.1%	0	1.7	0.00×
AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 364	$4.12	1.7%	2	3.3	0.60×
AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 79	$2.34	4.5%	26	15.2	1.71×
Nova \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 61	$2.10	5.2%	25	19.8	1.26×
SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 27	$1.44	8.2%	75	45.1	1.66×
CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 20	$1.22	9.3%	109	60.7	1.80×
XM1014 \| Black Tie (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 18	$1.16	9.5%	96	65.2	1.47×
CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 12	$0.81	10.3%	70	100.6	0.70×
Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 11	$0.69	9.7%	75	112.1	0.67×
USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 10	$0.61	9.0%	95	117.2	0.81×
Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 11	$0.38	5.5%	110	114.3	0.96×
Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 11	$0.38	5.5%	94	114.1	0.82×
UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 11	$0.36	5.0%	163	111.4	1.46×
AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 11	$0.34	4.7%	71	109.3	0.65×
AUG \| Tom Cat (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 11	$0.34	4.6%	48	108.1	0.44×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 11	$0.32	4.3%	80	105.8	0.76×

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specMashono4ka♿$1.09$0.620.57x5m

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedT H R A G G$1.09$1.221.12x25m

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffTrackL1ght$1.09$1.441.32x26m

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffTrackL1ght$1.09$0.360.33x26m

USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specww$1.09$0.610.56x28m

Galil AR | Tuxedo (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specIce Fox$1.09$0.690.63x37m

AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueя акула, i che?$1.09$0.340.32x43m

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted🩶L,E,K,A🩶$1.09$1.221.12x44m

AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueBerserk$1.09$0.340.32x1h

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffPROTEST$1.09$1.441.32x1h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 60.41%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 14:55 UTC	$1.09	60.41%	28
11 Nov, 08:54 UTC	$1.09	60.24%	28
11 Nov, 02:44 UTC	$1.09	60.12%	28
10 Nov, 20:44 UTC	$1.09	60.03%	26
10 Nov, 14:44 UTC	$1.09	60.41%	25
10 Nov, 08:34 UTC	$1.09	60.62%	26
10 Nov, 02:24 UTC	$1.09	60.53%	27
9 Nov, 20:24 UTC	$1.09	60.57%	27
9 Nov, 14:24 UTC	$1.09	60.55%	27
9 Nov, 08:24 UTC	$1.09	60.62%	26
9 Nov, 02:14 UTC	$1.09	61.00%	27
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$1.09	60.98%	27
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC	$1.09	61.04%	27
8 Nov, 18:22 UTC	$1.09	60.98%	27
8 Nov, 12:22 UTC	$1.09	60.99%	27
8 Nov, 06:22 UTC	$1.09	60.97%	27
8 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$1.09	60.98%	27
7 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$1.09	60.95%	27
7 Nov, 12:02 UTC	$1.09	60.99%	27
7 Nov, 06:02 UTC	$1.09	60.98%	27
7 Nov, 00:02 UTC	$1.09	60.96%	28
6 Nov, 18:02 UTC	$1.09	61.02%	28
6 Nov, 11:41 UTC	$1.09	61.06%	28
6 Nov, 05:21 UTC	$1.09	61.30%	28
5 Nov, 22:51 UTC	$1.09	61.27%	27
5 Nov, 16:41 UTC	$1.09	61.19%	27
5 Nov, 10:41 UTC	$1.09	61.03%	27
5 Nov, 04:41 UTC	$1.09	61.10%	29
4 Nov, 22:41 UTC	$1.09	61.07%	28
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$1.09	61.07%	28

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.0%blue 9.1%restricted 5.1%classified 0.0%#d32ee6 0.0%Legendary 0.1%#8847ff 24.0%violet 7.1%Rare 8.3%mil spec 27.8%#4b69ff 9.5%Mil Spec Grade 9.0%best hit —