Белоснежное наследие
A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.
Price
$26.99
Advertised RTP
67.60%
EV $18.25 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.57%
285 openings, odds method
Variance
0.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 68.13% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (91.68% – 113.46%, 285 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 285 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 1,863 | $519 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Field-Tested)gloves · Immortal | 1 in 1,650 | $365 | 1.2% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Field-Tested)gloves · rare | 1 in 983 | $215 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 570 | $160 | 1.5% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser (Field-Tested)gloves · epic | 1 in 569 | $159 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife | 1 in 267 | $116 | 2.4% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.81× |
| Charm | Lil' Boocharm · Ancient | 1 in 84 | $75.27 | 4.9% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.77× |
| ★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife | 1 in 37 | $56.03 | 8.2% | 12 | 7.6 | 1.57× |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 14 | $39.13 | 14.9% | 46 | 19.8 | 2.33× |
| USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified | 1 in 10 | $33.87 | 18.5% | 43 | 28.3 | 1.52× |
| P250 | Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 12.5% | $30.80 | 21.1% | 27 | 35.5 | 0.76× |
| USP-S | Stainless (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 65.9% | $6.41 | 23.1% | 140 | 187.7 | 0.75× |
Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgo-net:pf_case_ranges, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 67.60%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $26.99 | 67.60% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $26.99 | 67.43% | 12 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $26.99 | 67.28% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $26.99 | 67.26% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $26.99 | 67.51% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $26.99 | 67.81% | 12 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $26.99 | 67.81% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $26.99 | 67.80% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $26.99 | 67.87% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $26.99 | 67.91% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $26.99 | 68.31% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $26.99 | 68.27% | 12 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $26.99 | 68.26% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $26.99 | 68.31% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $26.99 | 68.29% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $26.99 | 68.30% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $26.99 | 68.31% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $26.99 | 68.26% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $26.99 | 68.28% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $26.99 | 68.30% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $26.99 | 68.30% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $26.99 | 68.23% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $26.99 | 68.35% | 12 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $26.99 | 68.66% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $26.99 | 68.67% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $26.99 | 68.57% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $26.99 | 68.30% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $26.99 | 68.38% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $26.99 | 68.38% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $26.99 | 68.38% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 7.2%Immortal 0.1%rare 0.1%epic 0.2%covert knife 3.0%Ancient 1.2%classified 9.9%blue 12.5%#4b69ff 65.9%best hit —