Dabbed
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$46.70
46.7 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
87.49%
EV $40.86 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
167.42%
117 openings, odds method
Variance
143.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 377
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 117 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 117 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10057, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$46.7046.7 CSGOBIG_COIN$7,1007,100 CSGOBIG_COIN152.0x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$46.7046.7 CSGOBIG_COIN$1,5001,500 CSGOBIG_COIN32.12x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $46.70 | 87.49% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 6.2%remarkable 0.0%epic 0.8%violet 93.0%best hit $7,100 (152.0x)