Hamsters
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$100.00
100 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $90.00 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
50.95%
46 openings, odds method
Variance
43.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 75
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 46 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 46 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10062, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$680680 CSGOBIG_COIN6.80x
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo)sticker · #8847ffOgnyenGamba$100100 CSGOBIG_COIN$3.503.5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $100 | 90.00% | 14 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 0.0%legendary 0.1%covert 5.6%restricted 0.3%high 0.4%rare 1.0%mil spec 4.0%#8847ff 50.0%#B0C3D9 38.7%best hit $753 (7.53x)