Mintpod

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$27.10

27.1 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $24.39 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d

38.41%

101 openings, odds method

Variance

60.2×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 154

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

89.1%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

12 openings · below min

7 days

95 openings · below min

30 days

101 openings · below min

since tracking started

101 openings · below min

-0.5%241.5%483.5%

Small sample. 101 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	12	44.03%±439.1	—	odds
7d	95	39.43%±156.0	—	odds
30d	101	38.41%±151.3	—	odds
All	101	38.41%±151.3	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 102 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendary	1 in 2,000	$5,670 5,670 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.6%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · legendary	1 in 1,000	$3,241 3,241 CSGOBIG_COIN	13.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary	1 in 500	$2,117 2,117 CSGOBIG_COIN	17.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · epic	1 in 333	$1,508 1,508 CSGOBIG_COIN	18.6%	0	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 333	$866 866 CSGOBIG_COIN	10.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 20	$47.43 47.43 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.7%	11	5.1	2.16×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 20	$29.85 29.85 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.1%	8	5.1	1.57×
AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	10.0%	$18.53 18.53 CSGOBIG_COIN	7.6%	10	10.2	0.98×
Sticker \| Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil)sticker · exotic	20.0%	$6.11 6.11 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.0%	17	20.4	0.83×
Sticker \| Baby Fire Serpentsticker · Rare	30.0%	$0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.1%	26	30.6	0.85×
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9	29.0%	$0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	30	29.6	1.01×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10064, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x3h

Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil)sticker · exotic$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.116.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.23x3h

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9Fat Retard$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x3h

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$47.4347.43 CSGOBIG_COIN1.75x7h

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x7h

Sticker | Baby Fire Serpentsticker · Rare$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.050.05 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x7h

Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil)sticker · exotic$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.116.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.23x18h

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$47.4347.43 CSGOBIG_COIN1.75x18h

Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil)sticker · exotic$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.116.11 CSGOBIG_COIN0.23x18h

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9Memo$27.1027.1 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x18h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$27.10	90.00%	11

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedlegendary 0.4%epic 0.3%covert 0.3%classified 10.0%blue 10.0%exotic 20.0%Rare 30.0%#B0C3D9 29.0%best hit —