HumanTripod
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$22.11
22.11 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $19.90 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
13.63%
85 openings, odds method
Variance
119.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 476
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 85 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 85 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $5,035 5,035 CSGOBIG_COIN | 25.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2 | 1 in 1,000 | $4,000 4,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 20.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald | 1 in 1,000 | $2,200 2,200 CSGOBIG_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 38 | $250 250 CSGOBIG_COIN | 32.7% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| Sticker | Angry Tsticker · Rare | 60.0% | $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.3% | 60 | 51.0 | 1.18× |
| PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9 | 37.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.0% | 24 | 31.4 | 0.76× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10067, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$22.1122.11 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9Firsty91$22.1122.11 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$22.1122.11 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$22.1122.11 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$22.1122.11 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$22.1122.11 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $22.11 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.9%extraordinary 0.1%Rare 60.0%#B0C3D9 37.0%best hit —