Master Chef
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$152.00
152 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.01%
EV $136.81 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
115.53%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
17.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 26
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1007, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$152152 CSGOBIG_COIN$690690 CSGOBIG_COIN4.54x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$152152 CSGOBIG_COIN$32.0432.04 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x
Dual Berettas | Marina (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted$152152 CSGOBIG_COIN$6.236.23 CSGOBIG_COIN0.04x
★ Survival Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$152152 CSGOBIG_COIN$143143 CSGOBIG_COIN0.94x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · coverttody$152152 CSGOBIG_COIN$32.0032 CSGOBIG_COIN0.21x
★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$152152 CSGOBIG_COIN$690690 CSGOBIG_COIN4.54x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.01%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $152 | 90.01% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.1%covert 41.7%gold 4.3%classified 24.0%restricted 10.0%#B0C3D9 17.4%#777777 2.5%best hit $690 (4.54x)