Stacked
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$11.90
11.9 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $10.71 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
9.33%
5 openings, odds method
Variance
3.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 5 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · rare | 1 in 1,000 | $532 532 CSGOBIG_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $97.00 97 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient | 1 in 23 | $56.00 56 CSGOBIG_COIN | 23.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert | 10.0% | $32.00 32 CSGOBIG_COIN | 29.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary | 20.0% | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG_COIN | 28.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 15.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG_COIN | 7.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 10.0% | $2.00 2 CSGOBIG_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec | 15.0% | $0.50 0.5 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #777777 | 1 in 16 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9 | 18.7% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1012, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$11.9011.9 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified$11.9011.9 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN0.42x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$11.9011.9 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.90 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 0.1%covert 10.5%Ancient 4.4%Legendary 20.0%classified 15.0%Mythical 10.0%milspec 15.0%#777777 6.3%#B0C3D9 18.7%best hit —