Ocean King

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$78.00
78 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.97%
EV $70.18 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
0.81%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
139.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 370
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.6%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
1 openings · below min
7 days
2 openings · below min
30 days
8 openings · below min
since tracking started
8 openings · below min
-0.5%1156.5%2313.5%

Small sample. 8 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10.01%±2312.7—odds
7d23.21%±1635.3—odds
30d80.81%±817.7—odds
All80.81%±817.7—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$43.9K 43,920 CSGOBIG_COIN6.3%00.0—
EMS Katowice 2014 Challengersother · base1 in 10,000$29.5K 29,500 CSGOBIG_COIN4.2%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 2,000$22.5K 22,500 CSGOBIG_COIN16.0%00.0—
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,000$14K 14,000 CSGOBIG_COIN19.9%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested)gloves · epic1 in 1,000$9,500 9,500 CSGOBIG_COIN13.5%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby1 in 1,000$5,500 5,500 CSGOBIG_COIN7.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 20$150 150 CSGOBIG_COIN10.7%00.4—
Souvenir P250 | Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Restricted10.0%$100 100 CSGOBIG_COIN14.2%00.8—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 20$80.00 80 CSGOBIG_COIN5.7%00.4—
SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 20$15.00 15 CSGOBIG_COIN1.1%00.4—
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 20$5.00 5 CSGOBIG_COIN0.4%10.4—
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 33$2.68 2.68 CSGOBIG_COIN0.1%00.2—
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D966.6%$0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%75.31.31×
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1017, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$78.0078 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn)weapon · pink$78.0078 CSGOBIG_COIN$5.005 CSGOBIG_COIN0.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.97%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$78.0089.97%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 10.2%base 0.0%extraordinary 0.1%epic 0.1%#eb4b4b 5.0%Restricted 10.0%pink 5.0%Legendary 3.0%#B0C3D9 66.6%best hit —