Price
$50.00
50 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $45.00 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.57%
202 openings, odds method
Variance
99.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 130
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 202 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 202 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1018, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$1,4491,449 CSGOBIG_COIN28.98x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$1,4491,449 CSGOBIG_COIN28.98x
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$745745 CSGOBIG_COIN14.91x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$600600 CSGOBIG_COIN12.00x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$600600 CSGOBIG_COIN12.00x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$600600 CSGOBIG_COIN12.00x
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$1,4491,449 CSGOBIG_COIN28.98x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9KREEMA$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 90.00% | 13 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 2.3%Extraordinary 1.2%red 1.5%#777777 23.8%#B0C3D9 71.2%best hit $1,449 (28.98x)