5% Emerald

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$50.00
50 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $45.00 from 13 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.57%
202 openings, odds method
Variance
99.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 130
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
44 openings · below min
7 days
143 openings · below min
30 days
202 openings · below min
since tracking started
202 openings · below min
-0.5%213.8%428.0%

Small sample. 202 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h44132.96%±294.4—odds
7d14389.91%±163.3—odds
30d20274.57%±137.4—odds
All20274.57%±137.4—odds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 202 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 10,000$20.5K 20,502 CSGOBIG_COIN4.6%00.0—
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 3,333$17.5K 17,475 CSGOBIG_COIN11.7%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 2,000$12.6K 12,551 CSGOBIG_COIN13.9%00.1—
★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 1,250$3,997 3,997 CSGOBIG_COIN7.1%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 1,000$2,648 2,648 CSGOBIG_COIN5.9%00.2—
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 500$1,449 1,449 CSGOBIG_COIN6.4%20.4—
★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 333$1,136 1,136 CSGOBIG_COIN7.6%00.6—
★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald1 in 189$745 745 CSGOBIG_COIN8.8%11.10.93×
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald1 in 100$600 600 CSGOBIG_COIN13.3%32.01.49×
★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary1 in 83$432 432 CSGOBIG_COIN11.5%12.40.41×
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)weapon · red · Emerald1 in 67$276 276 CSGOBIG_COIN9.2%63.01.98×
AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #77777723.8%$0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%5248.01.08×
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D971.2%$0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.0%137143.90.95×
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1018, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$1,4491,449 CSGOBIG_COIN28.98x
AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #777777$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9KREEMA$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #777777$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #777777$50.0050 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.030.03 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC$50.0090.00%13
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 2.3%Extraordinary 1.2%red 1.5%#777777 23.8%#B0C3D9 71.2%best hit $1,449 (28.98x)