Train
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$68.82
68.82 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
89.98%
EV $61.92 from 21 items
Observed RTP, 30d
2.43%
3 openings, odds method
Variance
2.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 3 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1032, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$68.8268.82 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9$68.8268.82 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.010.01 CSGOBIG_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.98%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $68.82 | 89.98% | 21 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 0.0%covert 14.2%gold 0.1%rare 0.1%extraordinary 22.0%covert knife 10.0%industrial 15.0%blue 20.0%#B0C3D9 18.6%best hit —