Glove

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$3.51

3.51 CSGOBIG_COIN

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $3.16 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d

67.96%

89 openings, odds method

Variance

175.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 29

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

83.6%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

7 days

62 openings · below min

30 days

89 openings · below min

since tracking started

89 openings · below min

-0.5%195.3%391.0%

Small sample. 89 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	0	—	—	—
7d	62	60.53%±330.0	—	odds
30d	89	67.96%±275.4	—	odds
All	89	67.96%±275.4	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 89 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$3,531 3,531 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,950 1,950 CSGOBIG_COIN	6.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$1,570 1,570 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.0%	0	0.0	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$945 945 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.0%	0	0.0	—
★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$693 693 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.2%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 10,000	$563 563 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	0	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$484 484 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$306 306 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.9%	0	0.0	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 5,000	$266 266 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.7%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$196 196 CSGOBIG_COIN	3.1%	0	0.0	—
★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$156 156 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.5%	0	0.0	—
★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 2,000	$127 127 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.0%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 2,000	$78.11 78.11 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.2%	0	0.0	—
SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 1,000	$32.95 32.95 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.0%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 33	$12.00 12 CSGOBIG_COIN	11.4%	6	2.7	2.25×
Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 20	$8.75 8.75 CSGOBIG_COIN	13.8%	9	4.5	2.02×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 13	$3.64 3.64 CSGOBIG_COIN	9.2%	6	7.1	0.84×
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 20	$3.23 3.23 CSGOBIG_COIN	5.1%	0	4.5	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 33	$2.46 2.46 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.3%	2	2.7	0.75×
Nova \| Gila (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 20	$1.38 1.38 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.2%	5	4.5	1.12×
M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 17	$0.83 0.83 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.6%	4	5.3	0.75×
P2000 \| Turf (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 13	$0.83 0.83 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.1%	9	7.1	1.26×
G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 11	$0.63 0.63 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.8%	6	8.0	0.75×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	10.0%	$0.62 0.62 CSGOBIG_COIN	2.0%	12	8.9	1.35×
Galil AR \| Black Sand (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 14	$0.46 0.46 CSGOBIG_COIN	1.0%	4	6.2	0.64×
CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 11	$0.28 0.28 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.8%	7	8.0	0.87×
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 13	$0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.5%	6	7.1	0.84×
MP9 \| Sand Scale (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 20	$0.13 0.13 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	5	4.5	1.12×
MAG-7 \| Sonar (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 20	$0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.2%	3	4.5	0.67×
PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred)other · #B0C3D9	1 in 28	$0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG_COIN	0.0%	5	3.2	1.57×

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1037, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MAG-7 | Sonar (Well-Worn)weapon · milspecMeruem$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.100.1 CSGOBIG_COIN0.03x2d

MP7 | Cirrus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.620.62 CSGOBIG_COIN0.18x2d

M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.830.83 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x2d

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$2.462.46 CSGOBIG_COIN0.70x3d

CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Factory New)weapon · Rare$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.280.28 CSGOBIG_COIN0.08x3d

MP7 | Cirrus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.620.62 CSGOBIG_COIN0.18x3d

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)weapon · classified$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$8.758.75 CSGOBIG_COIN2.49x3d

P2000 | Turf (Factory New)weapon · Rare$3.513.51 CSGOBIG_COIN$0.830.83 CSGOBIG_COIN0.24x3d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$3.51	90.00%	30

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedextraordinary 0.3%covert 0.1%Legendary 3.0%classified 10.0%restricted 8.0%Mythical 14.0%Rare 22.0%violet 9.0%mil spec 17.0%#4b69ff 8.0%milspec 5.0%#B0C3D9 3.6%best hit —